Macro dashboard
Inflation, policy rates, yields, jobs and growth in the US, the euro area and Russia, from official sources.
Where the economy stands
Rules-based labels from public data: descriptions, not forecasts.
- The US 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread is 0.42 pp: a flat curve.
- US core CPI: 3.4 % annualised over the last 3 months vs 2.6 % over 12 months (trend: rising).
- US payrolls: 51k a month on average over 3 months; unemployment 4.2 % (0 pp vs its 12-month low, 3-month average); industrial production 2.3 % annualised over 6 months.
- Euro-area HICP inflation is 3.8 % y/y (core 2.5 %), rising vs three months earlier.
- Russia CPI inflation is 6.35 % y/y; the Bank of Russia's target is 4 %.
- Policy rates: Fed funds target 3.75–4 %, ECB deposit rate 2.5 %, Bank of Russia key rate 14 %.
Rules-based labels from public data: curve below 0 = inverted, below 0.5 pp = flat; inflation trend = 3-month annualised vs 12-month core CPI (±0.5 pp); growth = payrolls, unemployment vs its 12-month low and industrial production. Descriptions, not forecasts.
Inflation
Year-on-year change of consumer prices.
Five-year chart with Invest Pro
Source: Bank of Russia (cbr.ru), Rosstat data, Computed by AI-Stock Invest from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis data via FRED®, Computed by AI-Stock Invest from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data via FRED®, Eurostat, via the ECB Data Portal
Policy rates
Central-bank rates and the euro short-term rate.
Five-year chart with Invest Pro
Source: Bank of Russia (cbr.ru), Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED®, ECB statistics
Government bond yields
US Treasuries and euro-area AAA bonds.
Five-year chart with Invest Pro
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED®, ECB statistics
Yield curve
Long minus short yields; below zero means an inverted curve.
Five-year chart with Invest Pro
Source: Computed by AI-Stock Invest from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System data via FRED®, Computed by AI-Stock Invest from ECB statistics
Jobs
Unemployment, payrolls and jobless claims.
Five-year chart with Invest Pro
Source: Computed by AI-Stock Invest from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data via FRED®, Eurostat, via the ECB Data Portal, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED®, U.S. Employment and Training Administration via FRED®
Growth
Real GDP and industrial production.
Five-year chart with Invest Pro
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED®, Computed by AI-Stock Invest from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis data via FRED®, ECB statistics
Oil and currencies
Brent and official reference exchange rates.
Five-year chart with Invest Pro
Source: Bank of Russia (cbr.ru), ECB euro reference rates, U.S. Energy Information Administration via FRED®
Yield curves
Government bond yields by maturity, today and a year earlier.
US Treasury yields
- Latest (13 ኦክቶ 2026)
- A year earlier (13 ኦክቶ 2025)
- 10 years minus 2 years
- +0.42 pp
- 10 years minus 3 months
- +0.95 pp
- Shape (10y − 2y)
- Flat
13 ኦክቶ 2026 · Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED®
Euro area AAA government bond yields
- Latest (13 ኦክቶ 2026)
- A year earlier (13 ኦክቶ 2025)
- 10 years minus 2 years
- +0.41 pp
- 10 years minus 3 months
- +0.94 pp
- Shape (10y − 2y)
- Flat
13 ኦክቶ 2026 · Source: ECB statistics
Maturities are spaced evenly on the axis. The curve shows yields as they are; an inverted curve (short-term yields above long-term ones) is a description, not a forecast.
Rates and yields
Latest value, its date and the change over one year.
| Rate | Rate | Change, 1 year | Date | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed funds target range | 3.75–4.00% | −0.25 pp | 14 ኦክቶ 2026 | Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED® |
| ECB deposit facility rate | 2.50% | +0.50 pp | 15 ኦክቶ 2026 | ECB statistics |
| ECB main refinancing rate | 2.65% | +0.50 pp | 15 ኦክቶ 2026 | ECB statistics |
| €STR (euro short-term rate) | 2.44% | +0.51 pp | 13 ኦክቶ 2026 | ECB statistics |
| Bank of Russia key rate | 14.00% | −3.00 pp | 15 ኦክቶ 2026 | Bank of Russia (cbr.ru) |
| US Treasury 3-month yield | 4.26% | +0.24 pp | 13 ኦክቶ 2026 | Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED® |
| US Treasury 2-year yield | 4.79% | +1.27 pp | 13 ኦክቶ 2026 | Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED® |
| US Treasury 10-year yield | 5.21% | +1.16 pp | 13 ኦክቶ 2026 | Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED® |
| Euro area AAA government 2-year yield | 3.08% | +1.15 pp | 13 ኦክቶ 2026 | ECB statistics |
| Euro area AAA government 10-year yield | 3.49% | +0.79 pp | 13 ኦክቶ 2026 | ECB statistics |
Calendar: central banks and data releases
Upcoming rate decisions and the official release dates of inflation, employment and GDP data (times in UTC).
| Date | Time, UTC | Event | Region |
|---|---|---|---|
| ሐሙስ, 15 ኦክቶ 2026 | 12:30 | US producer prices, PPI (BLS) | US |
| ዓርብ, 16 ኦክቶ 2026 | 09:00 | Euro area inflation, HICP final (Eurostat) ሴፕቴምበር 2026 | EA |
| ዓርብ, 23 ኦክቶ 2026 | 10:30 | Bank of Russia key rate decision Key | RU |
| ረቡዕ, 28 ኦክቶ 2026 | 18:00 | FOMC rate decision Key | US |
| ሐሙስ, 29 ኦክቶ 2026 | 12:30 | US GDP (BEA) Key | US |
| ሐሙስ, 29 ኦክቶ 2026 | 12:30 | US personal income and spending, PCE prices (BEA) Key | US |
| ሐሙስ, 29 ኦክቶ 2026 | 13:15 | ECB monetary policy decision Key | EA |
| ዓርብ, 30 ኦክቶ 2026 | 10:00 | Euro area GDP, preliminary flash estimate (Eurostat) Q3 2026 Key | EA |
| ዓርብ, 30 ኦክቶ 2026 | 10:00 | Euro area unemployment (Eurostat) ሴፕቴምበር 2026 | EA |
| ዓርብ, 30 ኦክቶ 2026 | 12:30 | US Employment Cost Index (BLS) | US |
| ማክሰ, 3 ኖቬም 2026 | 15:00 | US job openings, JOLTS (BLS) | US |
| ረቡዕ, 4 ኖቬም 2026 | 10:00 | Euro area inflation, HICP flash estimate (Eurostat) ኦክቶበር 2026 Key | EA |
| ዓርብ, 6 ኖቬም 2026 | 13:30 | US employment report: payrolls and unemployment (BLS) Key | US |
| ማክሰ, 10 ኖቬም 2026 | 13:30 | US consumer prices, CPI (BLS) Key | US |
Recent events
- 02 ኦክቶ 2026Euro area inflation, HICP flash estimate (Eurostat) · EA
- 02 ኦክቶ 2026US employment report: payrolls and unemployment (BLS) · US
- 14 ኦክቶ 2026US consumer prices, CPI (BLS) · US
Dates come from the official calendars of the Fed, the ECB and the Bank of Russia and from the release schedules of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and Eurostat; they can change. Russian inflation release dates are not listed: Rosstat's schedule is not available to us.
Sources
- Computed by AI-Stock Invest from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System data via FRED®
- Computed by AI-Stock Invest from ECB statistics
- Computed by AI-Stock Invest from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis data via FRED®
- Computed by AI-Stock Invest from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data via FRED®
- Eurostat euro indicators release calendar
- Source: Bank of Russia (cbr.ru)
- Source: Bank of Russia (cbr.ru), Rosstat data
- Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED®
- Source: ECB euro reference rates
- Source: ECB statistics
- Source: Eurostat, via the ECB Data Portal
- Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis via FRED®
- Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED®
- Source: U.S. Employment and Training Administration via FRED®
- Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration via FRED®
- U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release schedule
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics release schedule
FRED® series are public-domain data cited as their publishers request; ECB, Eurostat and Bank of Russia data are reproduced with attribution. Methodology and sources
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